Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.418484 0.491384 0.571151 0.664638 0.770915 0.887680 1.025372
2025-01-12 0.286613 0.379600 0.491768 0.635805 0.814494 1.027440 1.298809
2025-01-19 0.211835 0.311496 0.442149 0.623131 0.864052 1.170107 1.584085
2025-01-26 0.169696 0.273261 0.419048 0.634183 0.937525 1.343075 1.917909
2025-02-02 0.138576 0.242442 0.398321 0.641546 1.001983 1.505255 2.247115
2025-02-09 0.114426 0.216366 0.378686 0.645112 1.057849 1.656573 2.569678
2025-02-16 0.098447 0.199825 0.370096 0.662391 1.133085 1.838709 2.946500
2025-02-23 0.083706 0.182163 0.356322 0.668393 1.189633 1.995357 3.294616
2025-03-02 0.067377 0.157973 0.327242 0.644388 1.194339 2.071297 3.523984
2025-03-09 0.059586 0.148762 0.323155 0.662090 1.267965 2.258518 3.934878
2025-03-16 0.052101 0.138551 0.315448 0.671829 1.327953 2.426708 4.324561
2025-03-23 0.048186 0.135330 0.320700 0.705676 1.432167 2.673246 4.853374
2025-03-30 0.040924 0.123009 0.306145 0.700786 1.467964 2.810079 5.215261
2025-04-06 0.034316 0.110692 0.289651 0.690001 1.491800 2.928010 5.553067
2025-04-13 0.029039 0.100427 0.275875 0.682752 1.521017 3.056355 5.914874
2025-04-20 0.025867 0.095113 0.272509 0.696821 1.592315 3.263598 6.423795
2025-04-27 0.022814 0.089329 0.267046 0.705503 1.653247 3.455139 6.914459
2025-05-04 0.019950 0.083314 0.259985 0.709602 1.704829 3.631907 7.387106
2025-05-11 0.018096 0.080049 0.259410 0.728422 1.788160 3.872696 7.986907
2025-05-18 0.015976 0.075247 0.253949 0.734958 1.845740 4.067160 8.510544
2025-05-25 0.013041 0.066493 0.236022 0.708924 1.830446 4.118870 8.770751
2025-06-01 0.011909 0.064249 0.236259 0.728132 1.916231 4.374075 9.425574
2025-06-08 0.010656 0.061099 0.233277 0.738696 1.983211 4.594955 10.024401